I think in every traders life, there is a point
where he/she will print off the entire history of their trading and
start by analysing the painful mistakes.
I have just printed off some 50 sheets dating from 2006 from my normal
account (lots of doomed penny stocks), and from my ISA account.
I have never done this before, and finally I am at a stage to do so. I'll be tabulating it in a spreadsheet also.
I will list the ticker symbols later in this thread - it'll be a walk down memory lane!
---
It is done, it took about 3 hours of crunching.
The average hold time is 3 months, which surprised me. No system, no
risk management, just finger in the wind. Rudderless if you like.
Overall, a big loss. I would put a number on it, as this being the
"Stock market tuition fee." Cheaper than one year of a University
tuition fee today, but more than buying a sandwich! I have learned a lot
and it will be unlikely I will be lured by a tip or some penny stock
these days.
---
Wow the difference between the main account and
the ISA account is eye opening. No wonder AIM shares were not initially
allowed into ISAs.
My ISA account finished up by nearly £1000. This is with the same rookie type finger in the air type of guess trading as with the other account.
This is incredible, and shows the danger with risky penny shares, and companies which are loss making.
The average holding time is also almost double at 7.7 months.
BACKGROUND - ISA CGT tax protected accounts only
allow stocks from the main exchange. There are better regulated, and
generally are not loss making. Only in recent years has the Chancellor
allowed AIM shares into ISA accounts. AIM shares are generally growth
companies, loss making, and are riskier penny shares.
---
I have removed dates, and values and share
numbers like the other table. If it is too small, you can press Control
and + together to increase the size incrementally, and Control and - to
go back a step.
I thought I had bought Subsea resources at some point. It looks like I
didn't. It was a under sea exploration company that would go to ship
wrecks and dig out copper, silver and gold bars. Just like that! It was a
magazine tip, that turned out to be a disaster!
But look at the opportunity...!
Mistakes and Findings
-I invested in far too many pie in the sky ideas. Generally, I bought
too many junior mining/exploration/ CEO champagne lifestyle companies. I
then got cold feet after 1 or 2 months OR if the price dropped, and I
took a small loss.
-The only mining companies that made me money, was during the boom.
Notably I made a 4 figure some from a junior gas company - luckily I
sold because soon after it went bust. It wasn't skill, it was luck.
Anybody can make money in the right sector that is hot, at the right
time. You have to look for the right sectors to be in.
-I loss hugely if I got too attached to the company, and started to get
too involved, by reading every news piece and every bulletin board
piece. I thought the CEO was telling the truth and that there was going
to be more jam tomorrow. The next drilling result would be a bonanza
find. Rio Tinto was going to bid for the company! The stock price would
start to go up, but instead of selling, I would hold or add. Great news
ahead? Except, a large placing would take place, and the stock would
drop like a stone. It would be weeks of further small drops - I was
dying slowly by a thousand cuts.
-Most if not all of the penny stocks, even today, are lower than when I bought them. They amounted to NOTHING.
-Penny stocks are really generally awful 90% of the time (with the
exception of a red hot bull market in the sector). And 95% of the stocks
are AWFUL. Having AIM penny stocks barred from the ISA account was the
difference between a £1000 profit and a 5 figure loss. This is eye
opening stuff to all future traders and investors out there.
-Chinese AIM companies have had a lot of bad press lately, but during
the boom years, they did really well for me. The non fraudulent
companies made me 5 figure profits. When the bust came, the frauds came
to the front and the real companies left AIM for the main exchanges in
Hong Kong. These companies include West China Cement and Renesola.
-Penny stocks, which I regard as having share prices of less than 20p,
and market caps of less than £100m to £50m. They were barely profitable
trades, as they were difficult to get out of at break even because of
their low liquidity, and wide bid and ask spread. They typically have a
spread of 20%. So when I bought, the stock stock had to just increase by
at least 20% just to get out even - not possible in a slow market and
my average holding time being 3 months.
-The very worst stocks were the sub penny stocks. They lost me a small
fortune because they kept issuing stock like confetti. Not only that, it
was easy to delude yourself that 1m shares could turn into £1m. It
isn't going to happen, the odds are not in your favour. The bid and ask
spreads were even worse. They were the most easy to trap yourself in -
the stock can drop 25% in a day and the spread could widen massively. I
made the cardinal sin of adding to my losses by adding in share
placings. I was throwing good money after bad. The two sub penny stocks I
remember vividly were Atlantic Coal and Erix Therapeutics - both now
delisted.
Call me "mug punter". I got the T-shirt, been there and done that!
---
Biggest Regrets.
-Not buying to big winners that existed in the market such as ASOS, and
Rightmove. I thought I knew everything about the stock market, and
didn't need to read the subject. I had read one book, I think it was
Robbie Burns's Naked Trader. It helped me largely take small losses. But
I needed to keep reading if I was to learn. I regret not reading more in the earlier years.
-Believing the talking heads, that the precious metals would come back.
There was going to imminent Weimar hyperinflation, and that the
financial system was going to collapse permanently. The FED does not
know what it is doing with QE, and we will be resorting back to
bartering and hoarding tins of baked beans.
-I made good money during the mining boom years, but kept the "faith" that the bull market would come back after 2011. It did not.
-Not understanding bull and bear markets. No matter how good you were at
stock picking, even if you picked the best company in the whole world,
it was NOT going to go up if the general market was flat or going down.
I had to work on market awareness and patience - PATIENCE!
-Not being born in the right time so I could make a fortune in the dot
com bubble. Only joking - I don't think I would change what I have done.
I learn and move on.
Which book turned the light on.
It was Turtle Trader by Curtis Faith. It helped turn a nice profit in
Hochschild mining. I look back and there were some 20 trades in and out -
which netted me a low 4 figure some. Looking back, it looked like a lot
of work for little reward, however it was the birth pangs of a new
beginning to my understanding the market. Like a baby chicken trying to
break through an egg shell. Turtle Trader was just a stepping stone, it
does not complete the puzzle - it was just one piece closer to
completing the 1000 piece puzzle!
Huge Stock Market Losses
Can we learn from others mistakes?
---
Bulletin Board Market chatter;
http://www.advfn.com/
http://www.lse.co.uk/
---
Bulletin Board Market chatter;
http://www.advfn.com/
http://www.lse.co.uk/
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